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Can AI make America united again?


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LONDON — In an era of increasing political polarization, finding agreement on controversial issues seems more challenging than ever. But what if artificial intelligence could help bridge this gap? Scientists reveal how an AI-powered ‘mediator’ can help groups reach consensus on divisive topics more effectively than human mediators.

The study, conducted by researchers from Google DeepMind and the University of Oxford, introduces the ‘Habermas Machine’ – an AI system designed to facilitate group discussions and generate statements that capture shared perspectives. Named after philosopher Jürgen Habermas, who argued that agreement arises when rational people deliberate under ideal conditions, this AI mediator aims to create those conditions in a virtual environment.

How does the Habermas machine work?

Imagine a small group discussing a hot topic like immigration policy. Instead of arguing face-to-face, everyone writes their opinions privately. The AI ​​then analyzes these views and produces a ‘group statement’ intended to show areas of agreement. Participants judge how well this statement reflects their opinion and can provide criticism. The AI ​​processes this feedback to produce a revised statement. Through several rounds of this process, the goal is to arrive at a final statement that the entire group can endorse.

To test the effectiveness of this AI-mediated approach, the researchers conducted experiments involving more than 5,000 participants from the United Kingdom. These experiments compared the performance of the Habermas Machine with that of human mediators and examined how participants’ views changed during the deliberation process.

The results, published in Sciencewere certainly promising. Participants consistently preferred the AI-generated group explanations over those of human mediators, rating them as clearer, more informative and less biased. Perhaps most importantly, after consultation with the AI ​​mediator, groups often became less divided on the issues they discussed. Participants’ views tended to converge toward a shared perspective—an important step in building consensus.

Intriguingly, the Habermas machine did not just cater to majority opinion. By analyzing the language used in the group statements, the researchers found that the AI ​​learned to respect the views of the majority while amplifying dissenting voices. This balanced approach helped avoid the ‘tyranny of the majority’ that can sometimes occur in group decision-making.

To ensure that these findings were not limited to a narrow audience, the researchers also tested the Habermas Machine in a “virtual citizens’ meeting” involving a representative sample of the British population. Here again, the AI ​​mediator helped participants find common ground on potentially divisive issues such as immigration, climate change and healthcare policy.

You might worry that an AI system could manipulate the discussion or impose its own biases. However, the researchers found no evidence that the Habermas Machine steered conversations in predetermined directions. Instead, it actually seemed to facilitate the emergence of shared perspectives among human participants.

“This research demonstrates the potential of AI to improve collective deliberation by finding common ground between discussants with differing views. The AI-mediated approach is time-efficient, fair, scalable and outperforms human mediators on key dimensions,” the authors write in their report.

Where else can we put this technology to good use?

In addition to formal settings such as citizens’ assemblies, AI-mediated deliberation could potentially improve collective decision-making in various domains – from contract negotiations and conflict resolution to legislative discussions and constitutional treaties. As societies grapple with increasingly complex challenges, tools that help us reach agreement and promote collective action can be invaluable.

Of course, AI-enabled consultation is not without risks. The researchers emphasize the importance of ensuring diverse representation and good faith participation from all involved. And there is room for debate about the role algorithms should play in political processes.

Nevertheless, in a world where echo chambers and polarization often seem to be the norm, the Habermas Machine offers a glimmer of hope. By helping us find the common ground beneath our superficial disagreements, AI could help us remember how to talk to each other again.

Paper summary

Methodology

The study used a structured experimental design in which participants, typically in groups of five, took part in three rounds of deliberation on various social or political issues. Each round started with the participants writing their opinions. These were entered into the AI ​​system (Habermas Machine), which generated the first group instructions. Participants then rated and ranked these statements, criticized the highest-ranked statement, and the AI ​​produced revised statements based on this feedback. The process concluded with participants indicating their final preferences and completing surveys about their views. This procedure was repeated in multiple cohorts to test different aspects of the AI ​​system and compare it to human mediators and non-mediated discussions.

Main results

Key findings showed that AI-generated group statements were preferred over human-written statements 56% of the time and received higher quality and approval. After AI-mediated deliberation, group agreement increased by about 8 percentage points on average, indicating convergence of opinions. The AI ​​was found to provide an effective balance between majority and minority views, with the revised statements somewhat considering the minority view. In a virtual citizens’ assembly with a demographically representative sample, similarly positive results were observed, with some issues showing consistent shifts in opinions between groups.

Study limitations

The study primarily involved British participants discussing nationally relevant issues, which may limit generalizability to other contexts. The researchers acknowledge that the AI ​​system, in its current form, lacks fact-checking capabilities and cannot moderate discourse, potentially leading to ill-informed results if the input is of poor quality. Furthermore, the research does not highlight any benefits of face-to-face discussions, such as non-verbal cues and building relationships between participants.

Discussion and takeaways

The researchers emphasize that the value of the Habermas Machine does not lie in its “superhuman” character, but in facilitating efficient, fair and scalable consultation. They suggest that it could be a valuable tool for various real-world applications that require group consensus. However, they emphasize the importance of embedding such AI tools into larger consultation processes that ensure diverse expert representation and input. The study also raises important questions about the role of AI in political processes and the nature of consensus in democratic societies.

Financing and Disclosures

The research was conducted by scientists from Google DeepMind and the University of Oxford. While no specific funding details are given in the summary, it’s worth noting that the research involving Google DeepMind likely benefited from corporate sources. The researchers stated that there were no competing interests, indicating efforts to maintain scientific integrity despite possible business ties.



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